In 2024 Kazakhstan continues to face significant demographic challenges despite an overall positive change in population numbers.
The key indicators of natural population movement for the first half of the year, presented in the report, point to complex trends that require close attention from both government bodies and society.
Birth Rates and Mortality
In January-June, 2024 184.7 thousand people were born in Kazakhstan, which at first glance seems like a positive figure. However, this growth is accompanied by a significant number of deaths—66.1 thousand people. Thus, the natural population increase amounted to 118.6 thousand people, which is significantly lower than the same indicator from the previous year.
The highest birth rates were recorded in the Mangistau (24.80 per 1000 population) and Turkistan regions (24.78), and in the city of Shymkent (23.55). These regions are traditionally characterized by high birth rates due to their cultural and social features.
However, the most alarming indicator is the mortality rate. The highest values were recorded in the North Kazakhstan (11.77 per 1000 population), East Kazakhstan (11.36), and Kostanay regions (10.16). The high mortality rate in these regions is linked to the age structure of the population, which requires attention to the quality of healthcare and the prevention of diseases among the elderly.
Natural Population Growth
Particular attention should be paid to the changes in natural population growth, which, despite positive figures, shows a trend towards decline. In January-June, 2024 the overall natural growth rate was 6.59 per 1000 people, slightly higher than the same period last year (6.44 per 1000 people). However, this growth is minimal and does not offset the overall demographic challenges facing the country. The slowdown in population growth rates raises serious concerns and calls for active measures to maintain demographic stability.
Marriages and Divorces
57.5 thousand marriages and 18.6 thousand divorces were registered in Kazakhstan During this period . The marriage and divorce rates also show stability, although they require an analysis of the social factors influencing these indicators. The high level of divorces in some regions may be related to socio-economic instability and changes in cultural values.
Conclusion
The demographic situation in Kazakhstan in the first half of 2024 presents a complex and ambiguous picture. Despite the positive natural population growth, the decline in birth rates and the increase in mortality in some regions is concerning. Overcoming these negative trends requires a comprehensive approach, including improving the quality of healthcare, supporting family values, and developing strategies to increase birth rates in regions with unfavorable demographic indicators.
