Inflation’s impact on the economy is multifaceted, but its effects are most acutely felt by workers. The decrease in the purchasing power of wages has always been seen as a major threat.
However, new research by Joao Guerreiro, Jonathan Hazell, Chen Lian, and Christina Patterson introduces a novel element to the analysis—the conflict costs arising from the need to negotiate wage increases.
The study reveals that workers face significant moral and material costs when they attempt to negotiate with employers to offset inflationary losses. These costs include not only direct financial losses but also stress, deterioration in psychological conditions, and even the risk of job loss.

Study Results
- Approximately 75% of surveyed workers would prefer to avoid any conflicts with employers, even if it means accepting a reasonable loss in income.
- Companies that have adopted clear and transparent wage indexing mechanisms have shown lower levels of labor disputes and higher employee satisfaction.
- The effectiveness of such mechanisms was higher in companies with strong unions and developed corporate culture.
The research shows that inflation is associated not only with direct losses such as the reduction in the purchasing power of wages but also significant conflict costs. Considering these costs necessitates a reconsideration of wage policy and inflation control measures.
Strategic Recommendations
- Wage Policy Reform: Implementing automatic wage indexing mechanisms can help reduce conflict and increase worker satisfaction.
- Strengthening the Role of Unions: Supporting unions in negotiations can contribute to a fairer and more transparent wage-setting process.
- Developing Corporate Culture: Establishing a culture of openness and mutual respect between workers and management can reduce workplace conflicts and improve overall worker well-being.
- Monitoring and Adaptation: Regular analysis of the impact of inflation on workers should be a part of corporate and national policy to ensure timely adjustments to strategies and approaches.
These recommendations offer a comprehensive approach to minimizing the negative impact of inflation on workers, addressing both the direct and indirect consequences of this phenomenon.
Prepared by: Lina Egel kyzy, expert at Economy.kz portal


